Two Battleground Senate Races Yield Good News for Both Parties
Garrett up in SD-27; Pate up in SD-07
October 29, 2018
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
RALEIGH, N.C. – Due to the volume of high stakes races in the General Assembly this fall, Civitas has conducted another State Senate poll in two battleground districts.
In a survey of 400 likely voters from State Senate District 27, Civitas found challenger Michael Garrett (D) with a one-point lead over incumbent Trudy Wade (R).
If the election for State Senate District 27 were today, would you vote for…
Trudy Wade 45%
Michael Garrett 46%
Undecided 10%
“These results are not particularly surprising since Greensboro is seeing populations shifts and rapid growth, and Senator Wade has been a consistent target of environmental groups,” said Civitas President Donald Bryson. “The race for Senate District 27 will be a nail-biter on November 6.”
The Civitas Partisan Index, which is modeled after the national Cook Partisan Index, rates this district as Likely Republican with an R+3 rating.
Senator Wade has served three terms in the North Carolina Senate. Garrett is the managing partner of a local marketing firm.
This poll was conducted by SurveyUSA. It interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina’s 7th State Senate District between 10/20/18-10/24/18. The research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. The margin of error is +/- 6.2%.
Crosstabs for this poll can be found here.
Civitas also conducted a poll of State Senate District 7. It found incumbent Louis Pate (R) with a 6 point lead over his opponent, David Brantley (D).
If the election for State Senate District 7 were today, would you vote for…
Louis Pate 47%
David Brantley 41%
Undecided. 12%
Bryson continued, “It has been working knowledge that District 7 was going to be very competitive this year due to redistricting; however, it seems Senator Pate has a strong position going into the final week of early voting, with a very high favorability differential.”
The Civitas Partisan Index rates this district as Swing Republican with an R+1 rating.
Senator Pate has served 4 terms in the North Carolina Senate, as well as 4 terms in the State House. Mr. Brantley served as a district court judge for 21 years.
This poll was conducted by SurveyUSA. It interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina’s 7th State Senate District between 10/20/18-10/24/18. The research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. The margin of error is +/- 7.6%.
Crosstabs for this poll can be found here.
For questions, or to arrange an interview, please contact Brooke Medina, communications director, at bmedina@nccivitas.org.
Civitas has conducted live-caller voting in North Carolina since May 2005, and we are the only public policy organization offering statewide independent, nonpartisan data on a regular basis. Our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.
Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to advancing conservative ideas and shrinking the size of government. Civitas fights to eliminate government barriers to freedom so that North Carolinians can live a better life.
