Four more state legislative district polls were released this week in competitive legislative districts — and as a whole, continue to portray a difficult year for Democratic candidates.
On Monday, Civitas released results for HD 4, an open seat in Duplin and Onslow counties, rated as a neutral district on the NCPI.
- Republican Jimmy Dixon led Democrat Mott Blair 43-39 among all voters. Among those most likely to vote, Dixon’s lead explodes to 51-31.
- 59% of the voters in HD 4 disapprove of the job Obama is doing as President.
- Burr leads Marshall 50-31 in the race for US Senate.
- Only 28% approve of the job Bev Perdue is doing as governor.
On Tuesday, Carolina Strategy Group released a poll in SD 24 showing Republican Rick Gunn with a 4 point lead over Democratic incumbent Tony Foriest. SD 24 is rated as an R+3 district.
Wednesday, Civitas released the results of HD 22, with incumbent Democrat William Brisson holding a narrow three point lead over Republican challenger John Szoka 42-39 in a district rated as a D+3 on the NCPI.
- Republicans hold a 47-41 lead in the generic ballot.
- 60% of voters disapprove of the job Obama is doing as President.
- Only 24% of voters approve of the job Perdue is doing as Governor.
Finally, on Thursday, Carolina Strategy Group released perhaps the most surprising results of the week, with incumbent Democratic Rep. Rick Glazier trailing Republican Jackie Warner 41-39 in HD 45, rated a D+4 district. Among most likely voters, Warner’s lead expands to six percent.
These results confirm the growing trend that the electoral wave for Republicans is very strong this year. If Democrats are having to spend money defending seats like Glazier’s and Brisson’s, it could be a long, long election night for them in November.
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