RALEIGH – Donald Trump has overtaken Hillary Clinton in the latest Civitas poll.
When asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today, 39 percent of North Carolina likely voters said Donald Trump while just 36 percent said former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
And while Clinton continues to lead among women by 11% (44-33), Trump leads among men by 19% (46-27).
The text of the question can be found below:
If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between…
4/16 5/16
37% 39% Donald Trump, the Republican,
49% 36% Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
8% … or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
10% 14% Lean/ Undecided
32% 31% DEFINITELY TRUMP
5% 9% PROBABLY TRUMP
3% 2% LEAN TRUMP
42% 30% DEFINITELY CLINTON
6% 6% PROBABLY CLINTON
1% 2% LEAN CLINTON
5% DEFINITELY JOHNSON
3% PROBABLY JOHNSON
* LEAN JOHNSON
6% 9% HARD UNDECIDED
2% 2% NAMED OTHER
2% 2% REFUSED
(Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100.)
Crosstabs can be found here.
To learn more about the rest of the poll, click here.
The poll surveyed 600 registered, likely voters (30% on cell phones) with a margin of error of +/- 4.00%. This survey was taken May 21-23, 2016.
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller voting in North Carolina, and we are the only organization offering independent, nonpartisan data on current opinion. In the decade we’ve been conducting them, our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters truly think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.
Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to creating a North Carolina whose citizens enjoy liberty and prosperity derived from limited government, personal responsibility and civic engagement. To that end, Civitas develops and advocates for conservative policy solutions to improve the lives of all North Carolinians.
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With the news today,that they can prove Hillary lied,which any sane person knew already,this poll wouldn’t be this close.We are finally going to be rid of Slick Wille and Hilldebeast.
So last month Gary Johnson polled 8% with a ton undecided. This month support for hillary dropped a ton and undecided went up a ton, but you thought to drop Gary Johnson from the poll? That was smart.
Maybe here is an idea… include all the candidates that will be on the ballot.
No Bernie ? Not legit then. Ignore.
When reviewing polls, it is often telling who the “non-partisan” polling agency is… In this case it is “North Carolina’s
Conservative Voice”… Some people at least can do the math…
Hi Scott, if you look at the cross tabs you will see that Gary Johnson was included. For the press release, we provided the top two. You can click on the cross tabs which we link to in the release and see Gary Johnson and his numbers.
Trump picks up most of his support from under educated, white males… make you wonder….
Then what is 2 and 2,Thomas?Lonnie and George must have recruited a troll.
Don’t know who the Larry is at 4:50 P.M. but he is a troll also.
Hey George you call me an under educated white male.I invite anyone to read your posts and tell me you are educated at all.I am done with this site.
Shared this in a Breitbart story and it has 7000 Facebook shares. Good work Democrats on pushing the bathroom issue – it looked over for Trump and McCrory until the Obama transgender EO – similar move in Virginia was strongly opposed in NC 72 to 7.
600 voters, where’s the breakdown Republican, Democrat, Independent, Conservative, Liberal? are you hiding something? by the way Trump the chicken, chickened out of the debate because he has a campaign about nothing.
Reminder: Trump’s gain due to a 36 point swing among millennial voters:
http://redalertpolitics.com/2016/05/23/abc-poll-trump-surge-due-massive-36-millennial-swing/
I guess the old gray mare ain’t what she used to be…
Keep on trumping Trump! Nunca Hillary!
Wait…52% were over the age of 56? And 18 to 40 years old sampled only 17%..seriously? Skew numbers much?
Gary Johnson the Libertarian got 8% in both polls. Why on earth would you obscure that in the reporting and article?
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Fascism was very popular in 1930s Germany. “Those People” ( Jews, Romas, people of color and LBGT ) were scapegoats for Hitler’s rise to power.
George says Trump support is under educated,white males.This was left on the site.If I said most of Hillary or Bernie’s support was blacks,Latinos,and Muslims this would have been taken down in seconds.Seems Civitas is politically correct like all the rest.
What does Lonnie’s post have to do with polls?
Can I simply say what a relief to discover a person that actually knows what they’re discussing over
the internet. You actually know how to bring an issue
to light and make it important. More and more people must look at this and understand this side of the story.
I was surprised that you’re not more popular given that you certainly possess the gift.