McCrory up Two Points over Cooper in NC Governor’s Race
RALEIGH – The latest Civitas poll of North Carolina likely voters finds the two major presidential candidates in a dead heat, while Governor Pat McCrory is up two points over Atty. General Roy Cooper in the race for governor.
Civitas President Francis De Luca said, “As we head into the final two months of the election, it’s about as close as it can get in the races for president and governor.”
The full questions with the top responses are below. Cross tabs can be found here.
If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
4/16 5/16 6/16 9/16
37% 39% 40% 42% Donald Trump, the Republican,
49% 36% 42% 42% Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
— 8% 6% 5% … or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
10% 14% 10% 9% Lean/ Undecided
If the election for Governor were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
4/16 5/16 6/16 9/16
36% 45% 45% 45% Pat McCrory, the Republican,
46% 40% 40% 43% Roy Cooper, the Democrat,
5% 3% 3% 1% …or Lon Cecil, the Libertarian?
12% 11% 10% 9% Lean/Undecided
The poll surveyed 600 registered, likely voters (30% on cell phones) with a margin of error of +/- 4.00%. This survey was taken September 11-12, 2016.
To arrange an interview with Civitas President Francis De Luca, email Demi Dowdy at demi.dowdy@nccivitas.org or call (919) 747-8064.
Civitas has conducted live-caller voting in North Carolina since May 2005, and we are the only organization offering independent, nonpartisan data on current opinion. In the decade we’ve been conducting them, our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters truly think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation.
Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to creating a North Carolina whose citizens enjoy liberty and prosperity derived from limited government, personal responsibility and civic engagement. Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters.
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Jim Beaudreau says
What are the numbers for the senate race?
scott says
I bet they over sampled democrats like everyone else by 6-12% in the state. Trump is probably up 6 Pts
Joanne says
I was called that day by a recorded survey/ poll that only showed a telephone number 1 on my caller ID. After the first question I tried to input my answer and it did not work. Who knows if it was the same outfit but I was thinking that it screwed up because I am a Democrat and they wanted the poll to favor tRUMP so when I tried to answer with the selection i was making, it would not let me do it. Who knows?
Stevec says
How come Jill Stein, the Green, was not included in the list of choices. There are North Carolinans who say they plan to vote for her as a write-in on their ballot.
Joe says
70/30 landlines is a ridiculous skew to older white responders anyway. This poll is invalid. The “R” in the RCP chart means it was paid for by the RNC or some other R organization.
Michael says
@Jim Beaudreau; last poll I saw Burr was up by 6 points in NC, Burr is starting to pull away in hiw race but it is still early. The DNC and DSCC are doing a HUGE spending ad spree in NC for Ross, this is usually a last stage for a candidate before they drop them. If Deborah Ross doesn’t at least tie the race come first to mid October they will be pulling out of NC to like they did Florida and Ohio earlier this week.
Hunter says
do we know any polling data for council of state races
Encore says
This Poll Is Bogus As Hell!!!!
inquirer_2point0 says
LOL…Interesting.
The registered party affiliation of this Civitas NC poll sample is Repblican 31%, Democrat 44% , Independent 25% — which is a whopping Democrat +13 oversampling!!
https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/September-2016-Release-Crosstabs-pres-guv.pdf
Tim Smith says
Scott
You must not know this right wing frenzy billionaire organization. I would saw they they more likely over polled establishment conservatives. Art pope creation
John Graves says
Can’t catch a break with the Dims, can you?
Keep on polling. The results are instructive and have proven predictive.
Thank you
David Tait says
This poll was before the NCAA said it wouldn’t hold championship games in NC. I think that will influence the next polls to go against McCrory.
Nat Swanson says
HB2 has nothing to do with gays lesbians or bisexuals. It only matters that gender is based on birth certificates. If HB2 was
modified to allow gender to be defined by sex change operations, then no one could could have a legitimate problem with the law.