Among Likely NC Voters, Clinton Holds Narrow Lead in Race for President
Raleigh— The latest Civitas poll finds that North Carolina likely voters prefer Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in a presidential match up.
In the head-to-head match up, 42 percent of likely voters in our state said they’d vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton while 40 percent said they’d vote for Republican Donald Trump. Six percent prefer Libertarian Gary Johnson.
“At this point in the 2008 election, John McCain led Barack Obama 45-41— a four-point lead,” noted Civitas President Francis De Luca. “Making assumptions based on a lead of just a few points, five months before the general election, would be foolish.”
The text of the actual questions is below:
If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote?
4/16 5/16 6/16
37% 39% 40% Donald Trump, the Republican,
49% 36% 42% Hillary Clinton, the Democrat,
8% 6% … or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
10% 14% 10% Lean/ Undecided
32% 31% 33% DEFINITELY TRUMP
5% 9% 7% PROBABLY TRUMP
3% 2% 2% LEAN TRUMP
42% 30% 37% DEFINITELY CLINTON
6% 6% 5% PROBABLY CLINTON
1% 2% 1% LEAN CLINTON
5% 4% DEFINITELY JOHNSON
3% 2% PROBABLY JOHNSON
* 1% LEAN JOHNSON
6% 9% 7% HARD UNDECIDED
2% 2% * NAMED OTHER
2% 2% 1% REFUSED
Cross tabs can be found here.
The poll surveyed 600 registered, likely voters (30% on cell phones) with a margin of error of +/- 4.00%. This survey was taken June 21-23, 2016.
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller voting in North Carolina, and we are the only organization offering independent, nonpartisan data on current opinion. In the decade we’ve been conducting them, our polls have provided vital insights on what North Carolina voters truly think of the leaders and issues facing the state and nation. Civitas President Francis De Luca is available for interviews at or after the luncheon.
To arrange an interview, email Demi Dowdy at demi.dowdy@nccivitas.org or call 919.747.8064.
Founded in 2005, the Civitas Institute is a Raleigh, NC-based, 501(c)(3) nonprofit policy organization committed to creating a North Carolina whose citizens enjoy liberty and prosperity derived from limited government, personal responsibility and civic engagement. To that end, Civitas develops and advocates for conservative policy solutions to improve the lives of all North Carolinians.
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Can’t wait for the debates.All over for Hillary.All she has is women,and more of them are waking up.
Trump was afraid to debate Bernie your delusional Larry.
Anyhony,
You and I both know, that was a marketing/media ploy occurring on a comedy talkshow. You don’t rely on such programming to define your worldview, do you? It’s almost comparable to reading salon, in which Seth Myers’ parables are presented as actual objective reporting. If I’m not mistaken, was it not desperate Bernie whom initiated such dialogue? Anyways…..
looking at the results there is an over representation of dems in this sample. Trump wins both R and Independents.
The poll outsamples dems by 9 points.
Anyhony,
Trump would beat that old commie like a drum.
Under hillary will be non existing, under Obama administration our military has gotten weaker to the point that we our not the strongest military based on numbers Alone! We have jets that can’t fly cuz they don’t have the parts to fly and at an alarming rate soldiers r leaving. It’s time for America to take care of Americans first, I Der hillary that won’t be the case. She wants other countries to take up for us, but how can u do that when these other countries cant protect themselves. Hillary sold uranium to Iran, the Obama administration sold that to Iran. Why! Protect Americanso,
“all she is is a woman” spoken by a Trump supporter. Trump will loose in a landslide albeit not NC.
I dont see what idiot see in Trump..that clown….if u vote for him u an idiot yourself..if Trump said he would cut out social security. u still will have these same idiots vote for him..I dont care if Hillary made errors u cant tell me she want be a good president..Personally i want to slap every trump supporters…
As this point trump is helping hilary to win
Really wishing Johnson would start polling higher just to get him on the debate stage with Hillary and Trump I think a lot of Americans are looking for a third option and since he will be on the ticket in all 50 states I think he would be a great option to give American’s who are voting Trump because they hate Hillary and vice versa an option that they may actually agree with