June 30, 2015
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099 francis.deluca@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – As the news was breaking that former Sen. Kay Hagan would not seek a Senate seat in 2016, Civitas-commissioned pollsters were finding that the Democrat had less support from NC voters than the Republican incumbents in the Senate and the Governor’s Office.
News reports on June 23 and 24 said Hagan had decided not to challenge Republican Sen. Richard Burr, who is expected to seek re-election. From June 23 through June 25, a Civitas Poll found that, when voters were asked whom they would vote for if the election were today, 46 percent of voters favored Burr and 38 backed Hagan.
Also, asked whom they would vote for if a hypothetical gubernatorial election were held today, 44 percent of voters would back Gov. Pat McCrory, and 37 percent would cast their ballots for Hagan.
Additional results from this poll will be released at our poll presentation at noon today, June 30, at the Raleigh Marriott Crabtree Valley. For more information, click here.
The poll surveyed 600 registered North Carolina voters, 30 percent of whom were reached on cell phones. The survey was taken June 23-25, and had a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percent.
Following* is the exact wording of the relevant questions, which were asked of all voters:
If the election for United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote between: (ROTATE) Richard Burr, the Republican, and Kay Hagan, the Democrat?
46% Total Burr
38% Total Hagan
15% Lean/Undecided
35% Definitely Burr
11% Probably Burr
1% Lean Burr
12% Undecided
2% Lean Hagan
10% Probably Hagan
28% Definitely Hagan
1% Refused
If the election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: (ROTATE) Pat McCrory the Republican and Kay Hagan, the Democrat?
44% Total McCrory
37% Total Hagan
16% Lean/Undecided
37% Definitely McCrory
7% Probably McCrory
2% Lean McCrory
11% Undecided
3% Lean Hagan
7% Probably Hagan
30% Definitely Hagan
2% Refused
*Totals may not equal 100 percent because of rounding.
Crosstabs for poll here.
About the poll: This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted June 23-25, 2015 by National Research, Inc., of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Thirty percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2012, 2014) or be newly registered to vote since November 1, 2014. The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is at 100 S. Harrington St., Raleigh, NC, 27603.
The mission of the Civitas Institute is to facilitate the implementation of conservative policy solutions to improve the lives of all North Carolinians. Towards that end, Civitas provides research, information and training to:
- empower citizens to become better civic leaders and more informed voters;
- educate emerging public leaders, enabling them to be more effective in the democratic process; and
- inform elected officials about citizen-based, free-market solutions to problems facing North Carolinians.
More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.
Leave a Comment