Oct. 10, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Susan Myrick (919) 834-2099 Susan.Myrick@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – Republican Sen. Ron Rabin leads Democrat challenger Joe Langley by 12 points in the state Senate District 12 race, according to a new Flash Poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
In the flash poll, 300 registered voters from the district in Harnett, Johnston and Lee counties were interviewed Oct. 7-8. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.8 percent.
In the poll, 54 percent said they planned to vote for Rabin; 42 percent picked Langley. Four percent were undecided.
Asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 30 percent approved, 65 percent disapproved, and 5 percent were not sure.
Fifty-three percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 41 percent disapproved and 6 percent were not sure.
Fifty-one percent favored Republic Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate race, 38 percent preferred Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan, and 8 percent named Libertarian Sean Haugh, with 3 percent undecided.
Senate District 12 is rated as an R+6 district on the Civitas Partisan Index, which rates the relative partisan voting habits of legislative districts. For more on the CPI, click here.
Full text of questions*:
In the election for state legislature this fall, will you vote for … the Republican candidate? Or the Democratic candidate?
55% Republican
39% Democratic
6% Undecided
Is your opinion of Ronald Rabin favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Ronald Rabin?
27% Favorable
29% Unfavorable
34% Neutral
9% No Opinion
Is your opinion of Joe Langley favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Joe Langley?
20% Favorable
17% Unfavorable
41% Neutral
22% No Opinion
If the election for State Senate were today, would you vote for … Republican Ronald Rabin? Or Democrat Joe Langley?
54% Ronald Rabin
42% Joe Langley
4% Undecided
In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
44% Right Direction
44% Wrong Track
12% Not Sure
Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address: New Jobs? The economy? Taxes? Government spending? Public education? Health care costs? Government corruption? Illegal immigration? The environment? Or some other issue?
16% New Jobs
24% Economy
6% Taxes
8% Government Spending
21% Public Education
5% Health Care Costs
4% Government Corruption
13% Illegal immigration
3% Environment
2% Other/Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
30% Approve
65% Disapprove
5% Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?
53% Approve
41% Disapprove
6% Not Sure
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for … Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?
51% Thom Tillis (R)
38% Kay Hagan (D)
8% Sean Haugh (L)
3% Undecided
On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on … North Carolina specific issues, like state spending, education, and specific state laws and policies? Or national issues like Obamacare, the current administration, and foreign policy?
38% North Carolina Specific Issues
56% National issues
2% Won’t Be Motivated
3% Not Sure
*Because of rounding, totals may not equal 100.
For crosstabs, click here.
About the Poll: This poll of 300 registered was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Oct. 7-8, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or jim.tynen@nccivitas.org.
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
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