Oct. 17, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Susan Myrick (919) 834-2099 Susan.Myrick@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – Republican Mattie Lawson trails Democratic Rep. Paul Tine by two percentage points in the state House District 6 race, according to a new Flash Poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
In the flash poll, 300 registered voters from the district in the eastern part of the state were interviewed Oct. 13-14. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.8 percent.
In the poll, 44 percent said they planned to vote for Lawson; 46 percent picked Tine; 10 percent were undecided.
When asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 35 percent approved, 61 percent disapproved, and 4 percent were not sure.
Forty-three percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 44 percent disapproved and 12 percent were not sure.
Fifty percent favored Republican Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate race, 37 percent preferred Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan and 8 percent named Libertarian Sean Haugh, with 5 percent undecided.
House District 6 is rated as an R+4 district on the Civitas Partisan Index, which rates the relative partisan voting habits of legislative districts. For more on the CPI, click here.
Full text of questions*:
In the election for state legislature this fall, will you vote for … the Republican candidate? Or the Democratic candidate?
52% Republican
39% Democratic
9% Undecided
Is your opinion of Mattie Lawson favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Mattie Lawson?
18% Favorable
18% Unfavorable
37% Neutral
27% No Opinion
Is your opinion of Paul Tine favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Paul Tine?
41% Favorable
16% Unfavorable
23% Neutral
20% No Opinion
If the election for State Representative were today, would you vote for … Republican Mattie Lawson? Or Democrat Paul Tine?
44% Mattie Lawson
46% Paul Tine
10% Undecided
In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
33% Right Direction
55% Wrong Track
12% Not Sure
Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address: New Jobs? The economy? Taxes? Government spending? Public education? Health care costs? Government corruption? Illegal immigration? The environment? Or some other issue?
20% New Jobs
20% Economy
4% Taxes
8% Government Spending
13% Public Education
9% Health Care Costs
7% Government Corruption
13% Illegal immigration
1% Environment
4% Other/Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
35% Approve
61% Disapprove
4% Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?
43% Approve
44% Disapprove
12% Not Sure
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for … Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?
50% Thom Tillis (R)
37% Kay Hagan (D)
8% Sean Haugh (L)
5% Undecided
On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on … North Carolina specific issues, like state spending, education, and specific state laws and policies? Or national issues like Obamacare, the current administration, and foreign policy?
46% North Carolina Specific Issues
52% National issues
1% Won’t Be Motivated
1% Not Sure
*Because of rounding, totals may not equal 100.
For crosstabs, click here.
About the Poll: This poll of 300 registered was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Oct. 13-14, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or jim.tynen@nccivitas.org.
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
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