Oct. 3, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099 Jim.Tynen@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH –Republican state Sen. Michael Lee leads Democratic challenger Elizabeth Redenbaugh by 4 percentage points in the state Senate District 9 race, according to a new Flash Poll released today by the Civitas Institute.
In the flash poll, 300 registered voters from the district in New Hanover County were interviewed Sept. 30-Oct.1. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.8 percent.
In the poll, 45 percent said they planned to vote for Lee, with 41 percent choosing Redenbaugh. Fourteen percent were undecided.
When asked if they viewed the candidates favorably or unfavorably, 52 percent said they were neutral about Lee or had no opinion. Thirty-five percent were neutral or had no opinion of Redenbaugh.
Asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 43 percent approved, 52 percent disapproved, and 5 percent were not sure.
Thirty-seven percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 53 percent disapproved and 9 percent were not sure.
Senate District 9 is rated as an R+4 district on the Civitas Partisan Index, which rates the relative partisan voting habits of legislative districts. For more on the CPI, click here.
Full text of questions*:
In the election for state legislature this fall, will you vote for … the Republican candidate? Or the Democratic candidate?
43% Republican
45% Democratic
12% Undecided
Is your opinion of Michael Lee favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Michael Lee?
32% Favorable
16% Unfavorable
32% Neutral
20% No Opinion
Is your opinion of Elizabeth Redenbaugh favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Elizabeth Redenbaugh?
30% Favorable
35% Unfavorable
22% Neutral
13% No Opinion
If the election for State Senate were today, would you vote for … Republican Michael Lee? Or Democrat Elizabeth Redenbaugh?
45% Michael Lee
41% Elizabeth Redenbaugh
14% Undecided
In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
30% Right Direction
59% Wrong Track
12% Not Sure
Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address: New Jobs? The economy? Taxes? Government spending? Public education? Health care costs? Government corruption? Illegal immigration? The environment? Or some other issue?
19% New Jobs
15% Economy
6% Taxes
5% Government Spending
31% Public Education
7% Health Care Costs
2% Government Corruption
5% Illegal Immigration
3% Environment
6% Other/Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
43% Approve
52% Disapprove
5% Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?
37% Approve
53% Disapprove
9% Not Sure
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for … Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?
42% Thom Tillis (R)
42% Kay Hagan (D)
8% Sean Haugh (L)
7% Undecided
On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on … North Carolina specific issues, like state spending, education, and specific state laws and policies? Or national issues like Obamacare, the current administration, and foreign policy?
45% North Carolina-Specific Issues
53% National issues
1% Won’t Be Motivated
1% Not Sure
*Because of rounding, totals may not equal 100.
For crosstabs, click here.
About the Poll: This poll of 300 registered was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Sept. 30-Oct. 1, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or jim.tynen@nccivitas.org.
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
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