April 15, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099 Francis.deluca@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – The latest Civitas Institute Poll shows North Carolina voters blame Democrats more than Republicans for their personal financial woes as the state and nation move into the 2014 election.
While voters are slightly more positive about the overall economy, they are pessimistic when asked about their own personal financial situation both past and future. “And this ‘optimism’ about the overall economy appears in a time when nearly three-fourths of respondents believe the recession is continuing and won’t be ended for a year or more,” said Civitas President Francis X. De Luca.
“These numbers can’t be interpreted any other way than being bad for Democrats,” he said.
The poll of 600 registered North Carolina voters was conducted March 18-20, and has an error margin of plus/minus 4 percent.
Text of questions*:
How much longer do you think it will take for the economy to improve and the current recession to end? If you think the current recession has ended just say so.
5/11 1/13 3/14
1% 1% 1% Under 6 months
7% 7% 6% Between 6 months and a year
22% 23% 15% Between 1 and 2 years
60% 58% 59% Over 2 years.
3% 5% 10% Recession has ended
7% 6% 8% Don’t know
In your opinion, looking back, since 2011, has the overall national economy and job outlook in America gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same?
35% Better
36% Worse
27% Same
2% Don’t know
And, in your opinion, looking forward to the upcoming year, do you believe the overall national economy and job outlook in America will get better, get worse, or will it stay the same?
45% Better
23% Worse
29% Same
3% Don’t know
And now thinking about your personal finances and job situation, in your opinion, looking back, since 2011, have your own personal finances gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same?
22% Better
32% Worse
45% Same
1% Refused
And, in your opinion, looking forward to the upcoming year, do you believe your own personal finances and job prospects will get better, get worse, or will it stay the same?
36% Better
16% Worse
46% Same
2% Don’t know
1% Refused
When you think about the overall national economy and job outlook in America, in your opinion, from the following list, who is MOST responsible for the national situation?
29% President Obama
17% Former President Bush
13% The Democratic majority in the United States Senate
19% The Republican majority in the United States House of Representatives
16% Combination/More than one
1% Other
4% Don’t know
1% Refused
When you think about your own personal finances, in your opinion, other than yourself, who of the following, is MOST responsible for your personal situation?
25% President Obama
12% Former President Bush
15% The Democratic majority in the United States Senate
15% The Republican majority in the United States House of Representatives
12% Combination/More than one
2% Personally responsible (volunteered)
3% Other
14% Don’t know
2% Refused
*Due to rounding, subtotals may differ from final sums.
Crosstabs here.
This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted March 18-20, 2014 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2010, 2012) or be newly registered to vote since November 7, 2012.The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
The Civitas Institute is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.
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