Civitas Poll Looks Ahead to Elections

Feb. 3, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099      Francis.DeLuca@nccivitas.org

RALEIGH – The latest Civitas Poll provides insights on NC voters’ views on national races in this year’s political scene. The poll of 600 registered North Carolina voters was conducted Jan. 23 and 25-26, and has an error margin of plus/minus 4 percent.

Congress

And regardless of how you would vote at the state level, in voting for U.S. Congress, are you more likely to vote for…

44%     Republican candidates

40%     Democratic candidates

9%       Neither/ Other/ Mix

6%       Don’t Know

U.S. Senate

And in the election for U.S. Senator from North Carolina, which of the following is more important to you?  Would you rather…

48%     Elect a Republican who will be a check and balance to President Obama’s policies and programs.

40%     Elect a Democrat who will support President Obama’s programs and policies.

11%     Don’t Know/Neither/Other

1%       Refused

Has Kay Hagan performed her job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or is it time to give a new person a chance?

       10/13    1/14

30%     30%     Total Re-elect

50%     56%     Total New Person

 

18%     17%     Definitely Re-elect

12%     13%     Probably Re-elect

15%     14%     Probably New Person

35%     41%     Definitely New Person

19%     14%     Undecided/Don’t Know/More Info Needed

Favorability ratings

Now, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kay Hagan ,,,

TOTAL TOTAL       VERY    SMWT      SMWT    VERY           HRD OF/       NEVER

FAV     UNFAV           FAV      FAV       UNFAV    UNFAV         NO OP          HD OF

1/14    37%     47%               15%      23%          18%         29%              14%                 2%

10/13  40%     34%               14%     26%           13%        22%               23%                3%

6/13    42%     28%               13%     29%           14%        14%                24%                6%

3/13    41%     31%                 13%     27%           14%         18%               23%                5%

10/12  41%     29%                 15%     26%            13%       16%                20%                10%

Job approval

Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as U.S. Senator?

   Total   Total               Strong  Smwt           Smwt      Strong              Don’t

            App.    Disapp.            App      App.         Disapp.     Disapp            Know

1/14    38%     45%                 15%          23%              17%        28%                 16%

10/13  43%     37%                 14%           29%              15%       22%                 20%

2/13    46%     26%                 15%           31%               11%        14%                 28%

*Due to rounding, subtotals may differ from final sums.

Crosstabs here.

This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted Jan. 23 and 25-26, 2014 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2010, 2012) or be newly registered to vote since November 7, 2012.The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”

Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.

The Civitas Institute is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.