Oct. 3, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099 jim.tynen@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – The newest Civitas Poll sheds light on how NC registered voters view state leaders and issues.
The poll of 600 registered North Carolina voters was conducted Sept. 25 and 27-28 and has a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percent. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were contacted on their cell phones.
Text of questions*:
Now thinking specifically about North Carolina… Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have things gotten off on the wrong track?
29% Right Dir.
58% Wrong Track
13% Don’t Know
And still thinking about North Carolina… If the election for North Carolina State Legislature were held today, would you be voting for the:
4/14 5/14 6/14 9/14
41% 41% 42% 40% Republican candidate
44% 39% 45% 43% Democratic candidate
3% 4% 2% 2% Neither
12% 15% 11% 15% Don’t Know
In your opinion and in your own words, when you vote this year, what will be the most important issue on your mind? (open-ended question)
28% Education/ Common Core/ Teachers
19% Economy
18% Jobs/ Unemployment
13% Health care/ ObamaCare
11% Current Government/ Leadership/ Political party
9% Taxes
9% Income inequality/ Wages
6% Equal rights/ Inequality/ Social justice
5% Budget/ Deficit/ Debt
4% Immigration
4% National security/ War/ Terrorists
3% Morals/ Values
3% Senior issues/ Social security
2% Many/ Country going in the wrong direction (Non-specific)
2% Bipartisanship/ Government working together
1% Voter registration reform/ Voter rights
1% Environment/ Energy policy
1% Welfare/ Entitlements
— Big Government/ Freedom/ Constitution
— Foreign Policy
2% Other
1% None/ Nothing
4% Don’t Know
Now I am going to read you a list of people and organizations active in politics. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person or group. If you never heard of them, just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one…the (first/next) one is …
TOTAL TOTAL VERY SMWT SMWT VERY HRD OF/ NEVER
FAV UNFAV FAV FAV UNFAV UNFAV NO OPIN HRD OF
Pat McCrory
9/14 47% 36% 25% 21% 11% 25% 13% 4%
6/14 47% 43% 19% 28% 15% 28% 9% 2%
Thom Tillis
9/14 37% 46% 14% 23% 15% 31% 12% 5%
6/14 32% 39% 10% 22% 11% 28% 21% 8%
Kay Hagan
9/14 48% 42% 25% 23% 10% 32% 9% 2%
6/14 47% 45% 23% 23% 11% 34% 8% 1%
Which of the following statewide issues is the most important one to you when you are deciding your vote for North Carolina Legislature?
35% Improving the state’s economy and creating new jobs
3% Holding down taxes
6% Reducing government spending
3% Fighting government corruption
8% Reducing healthcare costs
20% Improving public education
7% Focusing on moral issues and values
8% Controlling illegal immigration
3% Women’s access to health care and birth control
1% Other
5% All
1% Don’t Know/Refused
Between State Republicans and State Democrats, please tell me which North Carolina political party is better described by the following phrases:
Republicans Democrats Both/Neither DK/Refused
Will fight for lower taxes and reductions in state government spending
51% 31% 10% 8%
Shares my values and beliefs
42% 39% 11% 7%
Will improve our education and public school system
35% 47% 9% 9%
Offers better solutions for our state
41% 41% 11% 7%
Is the party I would prefer to lead our state
43% 42% 7% 8%
=====================================================================
And in your opinion, has the current state legislature acted in the best interests of you and people like you?
28% Yes
62% No
10% Don’t Know
Do you support or oppose Term Limits for members of the North Carolina General Assembly?
77% Total Support
9% Total Oppose
65% Strongly Support
12% Somewhat Support
3% Somewhat Oppose
6% Strongly Oppose
13% Don’t Know/ No Opinion
1% Refused
*Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
Crosstabs here.
About the poll: This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted Sept. 25, 27-28, 2014 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2010, 2012) or be newly registered to vote since November 7, 2012.The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or jim.tynen@nccivitas.org.
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