Aug. 14, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099 Francis.deluca@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – The latest Civitas Institute Poll sheds light on the concerns of registered North Carolina voters in this election year.
The live-caller poll of 600 registered North Carolina voters took place July 28-29, 2014, and had a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percentage points. Of respondents, 25 percent were contacted via cellphone.
Text of questions:*
“Thinking about the United States for a moment… Do you feel things in the United States are generally headed in the right direction or have things gotten off on the wrong track?”
10/12 10/13 1/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14
40% 19% 24% 28% 29% 23% 22% 20% Right Direction
55% 75% 66% 64% 61% 68% 71% 70% Wrong Track
5% 6% 10% 8% 10% 9% 6% 10% Don’t Know/Unsure
— — 1% — — — — — Refused
“If all else were equal, and the election for Congress were being held today, would you be more likely to vote for …”
43% The Republican Candidate
43% The Democratic Candidate
5% The Independent / Third Party Candidate
8% Undecided/Depends
1% Refused
“In your opinion, what do you consider to be the single most important issue facing the United States right now?”
19% Economy
16% Jobs/ Unemployment
12% Immigration
11% Health Care/ ObamaCare
11% Current Government
9% Foreign policy
8% Budget/ Deficit
7% National Security/ War
6% Education
5% Morals/ Values
4% Income inequality/ Wages
3% Equal rights/ Inequality/ Social justice
3% Environment/ Energy policy
3% Taxes
3% Welfare/ Entitlements
2% Big government/ Freedom/ Constitution
1% Senior issues/ Social Security
1% Too many issues/ Can’t name just one (Non-specific)
2% Other
— None/ Nothing
2% Don’t know
— Refused
“Now I am going to read you a list of people and organizations active in politics. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person or organization. If you’ve never heard of them, just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one…the (first/next) one is …”
TOTAL TOTAL VERY SMWT SMWT VERY HRD OF/ NEVER
FAV UNFAV FAV FAV UNFAV UNFAV NO OPIN HRD OF
The National Democrat Party
7/14 42% 51% 16% 26% 13% 38% 7% 1%
The National Republican Party
7/14 39% 53% 14% 24% 21% 33% 7% 1%
Liberals
7/14 33% 54% 12% 21% 19% 34% 11% 2%
1/12 33% 48% 12% 21% 17% 31% 14% 5%
Conservatives
7/14 51% 39% 23% 27% 20% 19% 9% 2%
1/12 59% 24% 31% 28% 11% 13% 13% 4%
The Tea Party
7/14 36% 52% 13% 23% 14% 37% 9% 3%
1/12 38% 42% 18% 21% 8% 34% 16% 3%
The United States Supreme Court
7/14 47% 39% 10% 37% 20% 19% 13% 1%
Barack Obama
7/14 45% 52% 27% 19% 7% 45% 3% —
1/14 46% 50% 27% 19% 9% 42% 3% —
Hillary Clinton
7/14 48% 47% 24% 24% 11% 37% 5% —
Chris Christie
7/14 35% 44% 9% 26% 21% 23% 15% 6%
Jeb Bush
7/14 39% 41% 11% 28% 19% 22% 15% 5%
Rand Paul
7/14 37% 39% 13% 24% 15% 24% 14% 10%
“Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?”
1/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14
45% 46% 47% 45% 46% 45% Total Approve
52% 53% 50% 54% 53% 53% Total Disapprove
25% 24% 24% 23% 24% 23% Strong Approve
19% 22% 23% 22% 22% 22% Somewhat Approve
10% 9% 10% 11% 8% 6% Somewhat Disapprove
42% 44% 40% 43% 44% 47% Strong Disapprove
3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% Don’t Know
“In your opinion, do you personally feel safer under President Barack Obama than you did under President George W. Bush?”
39% Safer Under President Obama
46% Safer Under President Bush
13% The Same/ No Difference
2% Other/ Don’t Know
1% Refused
“As you may know, Speaker John Boehner has filed a lawsuit against President Obama over the administration’s decision to delay the employer mandate of the health care law. With that in mind, please tell me which of the following opinions comes closer to your own, in regards to the lawsuit …”
42% “(Some/Other) people say that the lawsuit is a political ploy, and a stunt. They say that Republicans are just out to get President Obama and he has done nothing wrong.”
51% (Other/Some) people say that the lawsuit is about reining in presidential power, not specifically about the employer mandate. They say that the President should not be able to overstep the checks-and-balances outlined in the Constitution.
3% Other/ Neither
4% Don’t Know/ Refused
“Would you personally support or oppose impeachment proceedings against President Obama?”
6/14 7/14
33% 30% Total Support
62% 62% Total Oppose
27% 24% Strongly Support
6% 5% Somewhat Support
11% 11% Somewhat Oppose
51% 51% Strongly Oppose
5% 7% Don’t Know/ No Opinion
— 1% Refused
“Recently, the Supreme Court ruled that the government cannot force closely held, for-profit corporations to cover certain types of employees’ birth control, in favor of the craft store Hobby Lobby. Do you support or oppose this decision?”
50% Total Support
38% Total Oppose
36% Strongly Support
14% Somewhat Support
7% Somewhat Oppose
31% Strongly Oppose
12% Don’t Know/ No Opinion
1% Refused
*Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted July 28-29, 2014 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2010, 2012) or be newly registered to vote since November 7, 2012.The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
The Civitas Institute is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.
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