Bush Overtakes Obama in Favorability Ratings

A new Civitas Flash Poll shows that likely NC voters view former President George W. Bush more favorably than President Obama.

The same poll also shows that Sen. Kay Hagan leads state House Speaker Thom Tillis in their race for the U.S. Senate, though the margin is razor-thin when the two major party candidates are compared head-to-head, without Libertarian Sean Haugh being considered.

The flash poll of 490 registered North Carolina voters who are determined to be likely to vote took place on Sept. 9 and 10, and had a margin of error of plus/minus 4.5 percent. (The question about the Hagan-Tillis debate was asked of 283 respondents who had seen the debate. That question had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.6 percent.) Of respondents not reachable on a cell phone, 25 percent were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

Text of questions*:

Overall this year, will you be mostly voting for Republicans? Mostly voting for Democrats? Or are you undecided?

43% Republicans

40% Democrats

17% Undecided

 

If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, who would you vote for? Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?

43% Tillis

46% Hagan

5% Haugh

6% Undecided

 

What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Kay Hagan?

46% Tillis

47% Hagan

7% Undecided

 

Did you see any of last week’s debate between Thom Tillis and Kay Hagan?

58% Yes

41% No

1% Not Sure

 

Did Thom Tillis win the debate? Did Kay Hagan win the debate? Or was there no clear winner? (asked of those who saw the debate.)

29%		Tillis
33%		Hagan
39%		No Clear Winner
	If the 2012 election for President were being held today, who would you vote for? Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? A third party candidate? Or would you not vote?
47%		Romney
41%		Obama
7%		Third Party
1%		Would Not Vote
3%		Undecided
	Is your opinion of Barack Obama … favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Barack Obama?
37%		Favorable
51%		Unfavorable
11%		Neutral
2%		No Opinion

Is your opinion of Joe Biden …33% Favorable46% Unfavorable17% Neutral 4% No Opinion   Is your opinion of George W. Bush … 42% Favorable 39% Unfavorable 17% Neutral 2% No Opinion   Is your opinion of Dick Cheney … 29% Favorable 49% Unfavorable 18% Neutral 4% No Opinion

Is your opinion of Pat McCrory …
37% Favorable
36% Unfavorable
19% Neutral
9% No Opinion

Is your opinion of Roy Cooper…

24%	Favorable
18%	Unfavorable
35%	Neutral
23%	No Opinion

 

*Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Crosstabs here.

About the poll: SurveyUSA interviewed 650 state of North Carolina adults 09/09/14 through 09/10/14, exclusively for the JW Pope Civitas Institute of Raleigh. Of the adults, 601 were registered to vote; of them, 490 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote; their responses are tabulated above. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (25% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.