June 26, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099 Francis.DeLuca@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – The latest Civitas Institute Poll shows a virtual dead heat in a hypothetical matchup for the 2016 gubernatorial race between Gov. Pat McCrory, a Republican, and state Attorney General Roy Cooper, a Democratic.
Among registered NC voters, Cooper was the choice of 44 percent, McCrory of 43 percent, well within the margin of error.
The live-caller poll of 600 registered North Carolina voters took place June 18, 19 and 22, and had a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percentage points. Of respondents, 25 percent were contacted via cellphone.
Text of questions*:
“Please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory.”
TOTAL TOTAL VERY SMWT SMWT VERY HRD OF/ NEVER
FAV UNFAV FAV FAV UNFAV UNFAV NO OPIN HRD OF
6/14 47% 43% 19% 28% 15% 28% 9% 2%
5/14 48% 38% 18% 30% 13% 25% 10% 4%
4/14 44% 42% 17% 27% 14% 28% 11% 3%
“Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job that Pat McCrory is doing as Governor of North Carolina?”
Total Total Strong Smwt Smwt Strong Don’t
App. Disapp. App. App. Disapp Disapp Know
6/14 48% 47% 16% 31% 16% 31% 5%
4/14 50% 44% 16% 34% 15% 30% 6%
3/14 48% 46% 16% 32% 14% 32% 7%
“If the election for North Carolina Governor were held today, and you had to choose between Pat McCrory, the Republican and Roy Cooper, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? Pat McCrory, the Republican or Roy Cooper, the Democrat?”
43% Total McCrory
44% Total Cooper
12% Total Lean/ Undecided
35% Definitely McCrory
9% Probably McCrory
3% Lean McCrory
7% Undecided
2% Lean Cooper
8% Probably Cooper
36% Definitely Cooper
1% Refused
*Due to rounding, percentages may not equal 100.
Crosstabs here.
This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted June 18, 19 and 22, 2014 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2010, 2012) or be newly registered to vote since November 7, 2012.The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
The Civitas Institute is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.
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