Oct. 1, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Jim Tynen (919) 834-2099 jim.tynen@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – The newest Civitas Poll sheds light on how NC registered voters view leaders and issues on the national stage.
The poll of 600 registered North Carolina voters was conducted Sept. 25 and 27-28 and has a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percent. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were contacted on their cell phones.
Text of questions*:
Now, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of…
Total Total Strong Smwt Smwt Strong Don’t Refused
App. Disapp. Approve Approve Disapp. Disapp Know (DNR)
… the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
9/14 44% 53% 23% 21% 8% 45% 3% —
1/14 45% 52% 25% 19% 10% 42% 3% —
If the election for US Senate were being held today, would you rather…
50% Elect a Republican who will be a check and balance to President Obama’s policies and programs, and try to gain a Republican majority in the US Senate.
42% Elect a Democrat who will support President Obama’s programs and policies, and maintain a Democratic majority in the US Senate.
8% Don’t Know/Neither/Other
How much longer do you think it will take for the economy to improve and the current recession to end? If you think the current recession has ended just say so.
2% Under 6 months
5% Between 6 months and a year
16% Between 1 and 2 years
54% Over 2 years
10% Recession has ended
13% Don’t Know
1% Refused
When you think about your vote for US Senate, would you say it is more of a…
23% Referendum on President Obama and his policies
54% Choice between the candidates
16% Both/Neither/ Other
6% Don’t Know/ Refused
On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on…
43% North Carolina-specific issues like state spending, education and specific state laws and policies.
42% National issues like ObamaCare, the current Administration, and foreign policy.
1% Won’t be motivated
11% Both
3% Don’t Know/ Refused
And regardless of who you plan on voting for, in your opinion, who do you think will actually win the U.S. Senate election?
34% Thom Tillis, the Republican
41% Kay Hagan, the Democrat
— Sean Haugh, the Libertarian
24% Don’t Know
*Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.
Crosstabs here.
About the poll: This poll of 600 registered voters in North Carolina was conducted Sept. 25, 27-28, 2014 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered general election voters in North Carolina. Twenty-five percent of the respondents were cell phone-only users. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two general elections (2010, 2012) or be newly registered to vote since November 7, 2012.The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 600 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.”
Civitas conducts the only regular live-caller polling of North Carolina voters. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.
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