Sept. 25, 2014
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Francis De Luca (919) 834-2099 Francis.Deluca@nccivitas.org
RALEIGH – Civitas has released a corrected version of today’s flash poll on the candidates in NC Senate District 15.
In the updated poll results, Democrat Tom Bradshaw leads Republican John Alexander by 10 percentage points in the NC Senate District 15 race, according to the Civitas Flash Poll.
In the flash poll, 300 registered voters from the Wake County district were interviewed Sept. 22-23. The survey had a margin of error of plus/minus 5.8 percent.
In the poll, 39 percent said they planned to vote for Alexander, with 49 percent choosing Bradshaw. Twelve percent were undecided.
However, when asked if they viewed the candidates favorably or unfavorably, 73 percent said they were neutral about Alexander or had no opinion. Fifty-four percent were neutral or had no opinion of Bradshaw.
Asked if they approved of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, 43 percent approved, 54 percent disapproved, and 3 percent were not sure.
Forty-four percent approved of the job Pat McCrory is doing as governor, while 53 percent disapproved and 3 percent were not sure.
Sen. District 15 is rated as an R+2 district on the Civitas Partisan Index, which rates the relative partisan voting habits of legislative districts. For more on the CPI, click here.
Full text of questions*:
North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November On a scale of 1 to 10, how likely are you to vote in the election… where 10 means you are certain to vote …and 1 means you are certain NOT to vote. (Average: 9.3 percent)
4% 1
0% 2
0% 3
0% 4
2% 5
0% 6
1% 7
2% 8
10% 9
81% 10
In the election for state legislature this fall, will you vote for … the Republican candidate? Or the Democratic candidate?
46% Republican
48% Democratic
6% Undecided
Is your opinion of John Alexander… favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of John Alexander?
12% Favorable
16% Unfavorable
38% Neutral
35% No Opinion
Is your opinion of Tom Bradshaw… favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Tom Bradshaw?
33% Favorable
13% Unfavorable
29% Neutral
25% No Opinion
If the election for State Senate were today, would you vote for … Republican John Alexander? or Democrat Tom Bradshaw?
39% John Alexander (R)
49% Tom Bradshaw (D)
12% Undecided
In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
38% Right Direction
50% Wrong Track
12% Not Sure
Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address: New jobs? The economy? Taxes? Government spending? Public education? Health care costs? Government corruption? Illegal immigration? The environment? Or some other issue?
15% New Jobs
15% Economy
5% Taxes
13% Government Spending
36% Public Education
2% Health Care Costs
3% Government Corruption
5% Illegal Immigration
4% Environment
2% Other / Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
43% Approve
54% Disapprove
3% Not Sure
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Pat McCrory is doing as Governor?
44% Approve
53% Disapprove
3% Not Sure
If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, would you vote for… Republican Thom Tillis? Democrat Kay Hagan? Or Libertarian Sean Haugh?
44% Thom Tillis (R)
50% Kay Hagan (D)
5% Sean Haugh (L)
1% Undecided
On Election Day in November, what would you say would be your primary motive to vote? Will you be more motivated to vote based on… (choices rotated) North Carolina specific issues, like state spending, education, and specific state laws and policies? Or National issues like ObamaCare, the current administration, and foreign policy?
45% North Carolina Specific Issues
53% National Issues
0% Won’t Be Motivated
1% Not Sure
For crosstabs, click here.
About the Poll: This poll of 300 registered was conducted by telephone in the voice of a professional announcer Sept. 22-23, 2014. Respondent households were selected at random, using Random Digit Dialed (RDD) sample provided by Survey Sampling, of Fairfield CT. Research methodology, questionnaire design and fieldwork for this survey were completed by SurveyUSA of Clifton, NJ.
The Civitas Institute – “North Carolina’s Conservative Voice” – is a policy institute based in Raleigh, N.C. More information is available at www.nccivitas.org, or contact Jim Tynen at (919) 834-2099 or james.tynen@nccivitas.org.
For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.
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